From Cold & Crisp to Mild & Wet – Here’s What’s Coming
March opened with the coldest start in years — firm corduroy, bundled-up mornings, and sunshine that helped soften things by afternoon. That higher sun angle is finally starting to do its thing.
Now the pattern flips.
Temperatures climb above freezing each afternoon this week, while overnight lows still dip just enough to preserve a firm base for those early turns. Expect more clouds as the week progresses, with our first rain chance arriving Thursday night.
The good news: Current models keep the heaviest moisture south of Blue Mountain Resort. If that trend holds, snow loss will be minimal heading into March Break.
Confidence: Moderate (track of Thursday night system still matters)
March Break: The Full Breakdown
This year, Spring Break = Spring Weather, and it all begins with a surge of double digit warmth.
Saturday — Buckle Up ( High near +12°C)but a high probability of steady rain. On paper it’s not great, but in reality? With a 106cm base depth (the deepest of the season) — and 277cm of natural snowfall banked since opening day, the mountain has rarely been better positioned to handle a heavy rain event than it is right now. This is a resilient snowpack that will be able to handle the upcoming thaw.
Sunday: Cooler air slowly filters back in as the rain exits. This should firm up ski surfaces. Temperatures remain mostly above freezing next week, so we avoid a hard freeze — This is important because it means we won’t be downhill skating on a thick layer of ice.
Best ski window: Sunday through Tuesday.
Looking ahead, another potential rainmaker is on the radar for mid-next week, possibly accompanied by even milder air. Highs near +15°C wouldn’t be ideal for carving — but they would set the stage for a fantastic après scene in the village. Sometimes you just have to lean into it!
Cooler weather is favoured towards the end of the break.
Longer Range Outlook
The mild stretch doesn’t look permanent.
Signals suggest winter makes a return later in March, with below-seasonal temperatures and multiple snow chances. This news may upset some of you, but for the die-hard skiers and riders hoping for one or two more powder days, this should be music to your ears. Now is a great time to tune your edges and maybe save a sick day for late month.
Winter is not done yet!
Day-to-Day on the Slopes
Tuesday: Increasing clouds. High +2°C. Light winds
Wednesday: Partly sunny and mild. High +4°C
Thursday: Cloudy, late-day showers. High +3°C. Winds 10–20 km/h
Friday: Cloudy and mild. High +4°C
Saturday: Very mild with periods of rain. High +11°C. South winds 20–40 km/h
Sunday: Cloudy and cooler. High +7°C
Final Thoughts
The pattern is shifting to classic March conditions — freeze at night, soft by day, and the occasional rain system mixed in. With the current base depth, the mountain is well-positioned to handle it.
Get out there. The mountain is in great shape and the season isn’t done with us yet.
Senior Meteorologist,
Anthony Farnell
